Will Ken Paxton Accept the Results of the Texas Senate Election if He Loses
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionCriminalité et justiceÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 202613j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 61%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
21 oct. 26, 06:14 UTC4 nov. 26, 01:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Senate General Election by more than 2 percentage points?
ForecastExWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Senate General Election by more than 5 percentage points?
ForecastExWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Senate General Election by more than 1 percentage points?
ForecastExWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Senate General Election by more than 7 percentage points?
ForecastExWill Bob Miller take a shit on the lawn of the court house if he loses the Mayoral Race in Glasgow?
Manifold MarketsWill Ken Paxton and James Talarico debate?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on the official outcome of the November 3, 2026, United States Senate election in Texas and the subsequent public actions and statements of Republican nominee Ken Paxton.
- Precondition: If Ken Paxton wins the election, or if the general election does not take place, this market will resolve N/A. If Ken Paxton loses the election according to the final certified tally by the Texas Secretary of State:
- YES: Ken Paxton publicly concedes the race (via an official speech, verified campaign release, or public statement on his official social media accounts) OR explicitly acknowledges his opponent's victory without filing a formal legal election contest challenging the certified outcome prior to the statutory certification deadline.
- NO: Ken Paxton publicly refuses to concede, publicly asserts that the official outcome is illegitimate or stolen, or files an official legal contest or lawsuit seeking to overturn or block certification of the election results that is not withdrawn or dismissed by the time the winning candidate is seated.
