Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 61%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 29 minutes
30 août 26, 20:55 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Senate General Election by more than 2 percentage points?
ForecastExWill Ken Paxton get 40% or more of the Asian vote in the 2026 senate election, according to the CNN exit poll?
Manifold MarketsWill James Talarico win the Texas general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill John Cornyn endorse James Talarico?
KalshiIf James Talarico is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves Yes if they both participate in a debate for the 2026 UA Senate election in Texas before election day.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 Md €
- Volume 24h
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 résultats de plus
- What will Trump say this week?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Ken Paxton and James Talarico debate? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 61% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Ken Paxton and James Talarico debate? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Ken Paxton and James Talarico debate? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Ken Paxton and James Talarico debate? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves Yes if they both participate in a debate for the 2026 UA Senate election in Texas before election day.