Will Elon Musk form his own national-level political party by the 2028 Presidential elections?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 04:02 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 88%
Prévisionnistes
27
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète8 nov. 24, 18:44 UTC8 nov. 28, 07:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketWill Elon Musk create a political party in the US by the end of 2026?
FutuurRègles
Resolves YES upon evidence of successful qualification by the FEC advisory committee. https://www.fec.gov/help-candidates-and-committees/registering-political-party/
- Update 2025-07-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has noted that due to the possibility of fake filings, any filing must be confirmed as legitimate before the market will resolve YES.
- This may cause a delay in resolution after a filing first appears.
