Will Elon Musk create a political party in the US by the end of 2026?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection2mois
FutuurVérifier la disponibilitéDonnées de résolution vérifiéesProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 91%
Non 91%Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
883 €
Faible liquiditéTraders
7
Commentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
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ForecastExRègles
This event predicts whether Elon Musk will formally create or register a political party in the United States at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, creating a party means formal registration with relevant U.S. electoral authorities.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official filings or announcements confirming party registration.
- If Elon Musk formally registers a political party in the United States during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Statements of intent or informal movements without official registration will not count.
