Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 64.6%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
1 sept. 26, 04:11 UTC13 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Daniel Lord still be living in a Tesla by the end of October?
Manifold MarketsWill Daniel Lord announce meeting vanlife girl before September 14, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Daniel Lord livestream between September 5 and September 11 in 2026?
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PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Daniel Lord uploads a new, standard video on his main YouTube channel, Hiding in my room (Channel Link), after the market's creation (September 1, 2026) and before September 14, 2026 (12:00 AM UTC).
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Rules and Clarifications:
- No Livestreams: Active or archived livestreams do not count as videos for the purpose of this market.
- Only uploads (vlogs, standard videos) qualify.
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8am EDT?
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
- $78,100 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 961,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 741,9 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 701,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 685,8 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+46.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.4pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 907,2 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+4.0pt27.4%
- 200-219+5.0pt22.6%
- 160-179-4.0pt20.6%
+23 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+4.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-1.7pt9.9%
- Google-0.2pt2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Next James Bond actor?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Daniel Lord upload a new YouTube video before September 14, 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 65% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Daniel Lord upload a new YouTube video before September 14, 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Daniel Lord upload a new YouTube video before September 14, 2026? doit être résolu le 13 septembre 2026.
- Comment Will Daniel Lord upload a new YouTube video before September 14, 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria