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Will Daniel Lord still be living in a Tesla by the end of October?

TechOne-Off1mois

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Oui 62.2%

Prévisionnistes

24

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 12 heures

Obsolète

22 août 26, 23:03 UTC31 oct. 26, 23:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Marchés Associés

Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.

Will Daniel Lord announce meeting vanlife girl before September 14, 2026?

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Will Daniel Lord upload a new YouTube video before September 14, 2026?

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Will Daniel Lord livestream between September 5 and September 11 in 2026?

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BTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?

Règles

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if there is credible evidence that Daniel Lord (YouTuber of Hiding In My Room) is primarily living and sleeping in a Tesla vehicle as of October 31, 2026.
The market resolves to NO if he has moved into a traditional residence (such as an apartment, house, or room), is primarily living in a different vehicle (e.g., a non-Tesla van or camper), or is otherwise no longer living in a Tesla.
Rules & Edge Cases:
"Living in a Tesla" is defined as utilizing a Tesla vehicle as his primary overnight sleeping accommodation.
Temporary stays (such as visiting family or staying in a hotel/Airbnb for less than a week) will not trigger a "NO" resolution as long as the Tesla remains his primary residence.

Marchés ouverts

BTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

$76,750 or above99%
$76,500 or above99%
$76,250 or above99%

+77 résultats de plus

Volume total: 1,3 M €
Volume 24h: 1,3 M €

BTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?

$78,400 or above99%
$78,300 or above99%
$78,200 or above99%

+97 résultats de plus

Volume total: 1,1 M €
Volume 24h: 802,6 k €

BTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target

Yes60%
No40%

Volume total: 736,5 k €
Volume 24h: 585,6 k €

BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

$72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
$72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
$69,500 or above+1.0pt98%

+47 résultats de plus

Volume total

Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?

180-199+10.0pt31.4%
200-219+8.0pt22.9%
160-179-4.0pt19.1%

+23 résultats de plus

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?

88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
90° or above+11.0pt28%
86° to 87°-12.0pt25%

+3 résultats de plus

Volume total

Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Daniel Lord still be living in a Tesla by the end of October? ?: Manifold Markets cote Yes à 62% au 8 septembre 2026.
Quand Will Daniel Lord still be living in a Tesla by the end of October? sera-t-il résolu ?: Will Daniel Lord still be living in a Tesla by the end of October? doit être résolu le 31 octobre 2026.
Comment Will Daniel Lord still be living in a Tesla by the end of October? est-il réglé ?: Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria

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