Ce marché s'est résolu: Yes (97.7%)
Résolu: 30 sept. 2026, 15:14
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 30 sept. 2026, 23:41 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Chronologie des Probabilités
Yes97.7%
No2.299999999999997%
Gagné
Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if any daily average CO2 measurement at Mauna Loa Observatory reaches or exceeds 432.25 ppm on any day in 2026.
- Resolution will be determined using daily mean data from NOAA GML (Mauna Loa Observatory), available at https://gml.noaa.gov/ccgg/trends/data.html.
- Daily averages are filtered to represent "background" conditions, excluding local emissions or volcanic influences, and require low variability within and between hours.
- The 2026 annual average CO2 concentration at Mauna Loa is forecast to be 429.4 ± 0.6 ppm.
- At Mauna Loa, the highest monthly value each year occurs in May, with May 2024 reaching just under 427 ppm.