Prévision communautaire actuelle
2030 33.8%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète10 janv. 24, 17:29 UTC30 déc. 33, 19:30 UTC
Tendances
0.5%
0.4%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will Russia land someone on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWhen will any European countries land someone on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWill China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
PolymarketRègles
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese_Lunar_Exploration_Program#:~:text=On%2012%20July%202023%2C%20at,Moon%20by%20the%20year%202030.
Marchés ouverts
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1 k €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume total
- 57,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4 k €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume total
- 817,9 k €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will China land someone on the moon on this year? ?
- Manifold Markets cote 2030 à 34% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will China land someone on the moon on this year? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will China land someone on the moon on this year? doit être résolu le 30 décembre 2033.
- Comment Will China land someone on the moon on this year? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese_Lunar_Exploration_Program#:~:text=On%2012%20July%202023%2C%20at,Moon%20by%20the%20year%202030.