Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will China invade Taiwan during the regular season of baseball? ?

Manifold Markets cote No à 84.9% au 29 octobre 2026.

Will China invade Taiwan during the regular season of baseball?

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Non 84.9%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 14 heures

Obsolète

14 mai 24, 22:21 UTC1 janv. 30, 05:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Règles

Resolves Yes if China invades Taiwan and it's during the regular season of baseball for any Pro teams.

Resolves No if:
China acknowledges Taiwan's independence
China makes International agreements or signs treaties that would make an invasion highly unlikely
The CCP are no longer in power in China
China invades Taiwan and it's not during the regular season of baseball