Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 80.9%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète10 nov. 23, 02:48 UTC1 janv. 30, 15:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolves YES if there is credible evidence that the PRC has deployed ground troops on Burmese territory.
- It could be with or without the permission of the junta or rebel forces.
- The only qualification is that military drills and exercises do not count, nor would small ceremonial attachments for, say, a state funeral.
- There is no requirement for Chinese forces to engage in combat.
- I will adjudicate this market and will not bet in it.
- The weight of evidence should be such that a reasonable person seems it more likely than not that China has deployed troops.
