Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 87.8%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète15 avr. 24, 15:23 UTC31 déc. 49, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will chicken be banned in Texas before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill factory farming ever be de facto banned and enforced across the contiguous United States?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Democratic president of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping visit the United States?
KalshiWill the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
KalshiHow many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
KalshiRègles
Update 2025-02-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Ban Duration Clarification:
- Only permanent bans will count.
- Temporary restrictions or bans, such as those implemented temporarily due to health concerns, do not qualify.
Marchés ouverts
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.3pt97%
- Yes+0.3pt3%
- Volume total
- 15,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 35,6 k €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2 k €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volume total
- 83,5 k €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000-1.0pt96%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 864,2 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volume total
- 915,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 k €
KALSHIWhen will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Before July 2027+67.0pt97%
- Before 202872%
- Before October 202752%
- Volume total
- 4,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will chicken be banned in the united states before 2050? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 88% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will chicken be banned in the united states before 2050? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will chicken be banned in the united states before 2050? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2049.
- Comment Will chicken be banned in the united states before 2050? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Update 2025-02-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Ban Duration Clarification: