Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 61.5%
Prévisionnistes
42
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard11 sept. 25, 00:04 UTC11 sept. 35, 00:04 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Tyler Robinson executed to death penalty?
Manifold MarketsWill rapper d4vd receive the death penalty?
Manifold MarketsWhat's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter
Manifold MarketsWhich method(s) will the police use to find Charlie Kirk's shooter?
Manifold MarketsTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Update 2025-09-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If Tyler Robinson is not the killer, the market will wait until the actual killer is identified.
- Dying in prison is not receiving the death penalty.
- Update 2025-09-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Requires actual execution: Resolves YES only if the killer is put to death via capital punishment (e.g., firing squad, lethal injection).
- A death sentence without execution does not count.
