Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleThe shooter killed Charlie Kirk 100%En tête parmi 179 options
Prévisionnistes
600
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète10 sept. 25, 22:03 UTC10 déc. 26, 22:57 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What political positions did Charlie Kirk's shooter support?
Manifold MarketsWhich method(s) will the police use to find Charlie Kirk's shooter?
Manifold MarketsWhat is true about Erika Kirk (Charlie Kirk’s widow) after the funeral ceremony.
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Update 2025-09-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If it's ambiguous whether the shooter is male, this market will resolve to N/A.
- If any such accomplice exists, this answer will not resolve as true.
- Update 2025-10-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - A conviction or guilty plea in court would be sufficient evidence to resolve answers about the shooter's identity
- Direct evidence would be sufficient
- Circumstantial evidence or evidence described as "seemingly" implicating someone would not be sufficient to resolve
Marchés ouverts
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 135,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7 k €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 325 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter ?
- Manifold Markets cote The shooter killed Charlie Kirk à 100% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter sera-t-il résolu ?
- What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter doit être résolu le 10 décembre 2026.
- Comment What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Update 2025-09-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If it's ambiguous whether the shooter is male, this market will resolve to N/A.