Will "Canada Lost Its Measles Elimination Status Be..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Santé et médecineOne-Off1a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 56.6%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 53 minutes
En retard26 janv. 26, 07:38 UTC1 févr. 28, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Règles
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Canada Lost Its Measles Elimination Status Because We Don't Have Enough Nurses Who Speak Low German is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
