Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 90.4%
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
29 mars 23, 07:58 UTC1 janv. 00, 20:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will there be a trend spike for the term "Butlerian Jihad" before 2035?
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PolymarketRègles
Thou shalt not make a machine in the likeness of a human mind
- In the Dune books there was an event called 'Butlerian Jihad' https://dune.fandom.com/wiki/Butlerian_Jihad
- This marker it about will something like 'Butlerian Jihad' occer in real life.
- It is hard to explicitly explain what is 'something like'.
- I'm thinking of serveal points:
- there are very serious problems because of the 'thinking machine technology' (AI)
