Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNo, not before 2026 midterms 95.9%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
29
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète20 déc. 25, 08:34 UTC20 déc. 26, 08:19 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Rep. Thomas Massie has suggested that those involved in the unwarranted redaction of the Epstein Files are guilty of Obstruction of Justice under 18 U.S.C. § 1519.
- On its face, it seems like a strong argument (assuming that in fact not all the redactions fell under the narrow exceptions allowed by the Epstein Files Transparency Act.) The same logic would appear to apply to the failure to release the majority of the files by the legally-mandated deadline.
- But will anyone actually face any official penalty for any of this?
Marchés ouverts
Crime & Justice
POLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
- 27,4 k €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Volume total
- 497,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,5 k €
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.0pt83.2%
- No-2.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
- 676 k €
- Volume 24h
- 8,2 k €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- 9,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 4,6 k €
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No84%
- Yes-1.0pt16%
- Volume total
- 577,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 3,7 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.5pt7%
+3 résultats de plus
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- What will Brett Kavanaugh say during his Notre Dame Lecture?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
- Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will anyone be punished for failure to fully release the Epstein files? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No, not before 2026 midterms à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will anyone be punished for failure to fully release the Epstein files? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will anyone be punished for failure to fully release the Epstein files? doit être résolu le 20 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will anyone be punished for failure to fully release the Epstein files? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Rep. Thomas Massie has suggested that those involved in the unwarranted redaction of the Epstein Files are guilty of Obstruction of Justice under 18 U.S.C. § 1519.