Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 76.5%
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard24 nov. 25, 20:50 UTC31 déc. 29, 15:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiWill Starship successfully deploy its payload during Flight 15?
Manifold MarketsNASA confirms aliens before 2027?
Manifold Marketswill india have a mars space mission in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on the moon again before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if any of the next four Starliner flights carry crew.
- The market resolves NO if all four flights are uncrewed.
- Resolution will be determined by official NASA or Boeing announcements regarding crew assignments for each flight.
- The market resolves NO if Starliner is cancelled without flying four more times.
- The next Starliner flight is scheduled for no earlier than April 2026 as a cargo mission, pending additional tests and certification.
