Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 90.6%
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 47 minutes
En retard10 mai 26, 04:31 UTC1 janv. 31, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
PolymarketAnthropic acquired before 2027?
LimitlessAnthropic acquired by another company before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic acquired by Apple before 2030?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if any company obtains a >50% stake in Anthropic by EOY 2030
Marchés ouverts
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.6pt70.7%
- ChatGPT-2.8pt13.1%
- Grok+0.8pt7.1%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 50,3 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 15,-1.0pt89%
- December 31,-3.5pt88%
- November 30,-6.5pt85%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$900B+10.4pt100%
- ↑$1.0T-4.5pt82%
- ↑$1.25T-4.5pt57%
+12 résultats de plus
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude+1.0pt91.7%
- ChatGPT+1.0pt1.9%
- Gemini0.9%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 60,6 k €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+2.0pt91.4%
- Grok+1.0pt1.9%
- Gemini1.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 425,5 k €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-9.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt84%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,5 M €
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- OpenAI IPO by which date?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- OpenRouter AI token usage: Sep 7–13
- Most popular AI this week
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Anthropic be acquired before the end of 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 91% au 13 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Anthropic be acquired before the end of 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Anthropic be acquired before the end of 2030? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2031.
- Comment Will Anthropic be acquired before the end of 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if any company obtains a >50% stake in Anthropic by EOY 2030