Will an LLM score >=95% on SimpleBench before 2028?

Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will an LLM score >=95% on SimpleBench before 2028? ?

Manifold Markets cote Yes à 81.5% au 3 novembre 2026.

Quand Will an LLM score >=95% on SimpleBench before 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?

Will an LLM score >=95% on SimpleBench before 2028? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.

Comment Will an LLM score >=95% on SimpleBench before 2028? est-il réglé ?

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market will be resolved as YES if the AVG@5 score of any LLM on this leaderboard will be 95.0% or higher before Jan 1, 2028.

Utilisez ce marché dans du code ou un agent IA

JSON gratuit pour ce marché, sans clé API :

Agents IA : appelez pm_data_event sur le serveur MCP de CoinRithm :

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini+1.1pt52.7%
• Claude-7.7pt32.9%
• ChatGPT+1.1pt7%

+5 résultats de plus

Volume total

15 M €

Volume 24h

337,1 k €

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-6.0pt31.6%
• $2.0–$2.25T+1.6pt19.4%
• $1.5–$1.75T-2.8pt16.3%

+7 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• SpaceX+6.5pt65%
• Anthropic-14.4pt28%
• ByteDance0%

+9 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

• ↑$1.5T+3.5pt94%
• ↑$1.75T+0.5pt83%
• ↑$2.0T-1.5pt65%

+11 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 15,-0.5pt91%
• December 31,-1.3pt91%
• November 30,+3.0pt86%

+15 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

• No IPO by December 31, 2026-0.1pt97%
• 1.5T+-0.1pt1%
• 750B–1T1%

+4 résultats de plus

• Grok App Downloads in October 2026
• When will Gemini Carbon be released?
• How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?
• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• Best AI this week
• Gemini Carbon released by which date?
• ChatGPT App Downloads in October
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Gemini Carbon released on?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?