Will an AI tool be able to generate a feature-length movie about the OpenAI drama before the regular movie comes out?
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Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 91.6%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 24 minutes
20 nov. 23, 20:48 UTC2 janv. 27, 05:59 UTC
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Because the resolution criteria are somewhat subjective, I will not be trading in this market.
- Basically trying to answer this as a reasonable person would:
- I'm imagining a movie that looks like a live-action film; cartoons don't count.
- It should clearly depict the story of OpenAI's firing-Sama drama, etc. I think it's okay if the script was written by a human who fed it to a model that produced the movie.
- It would be nice, of course, if the script were mostly generated by an LLM, but that part is doable with the right prompt engineering using current technology, so it shouldn't be part of the resolution criteria.
