Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?
IAOne-Off3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 88.9%
Prévisionnistes
44
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 heures
Obsolète18 avr. 23, 13:49 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:00 UTC
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From https://metaculus.com/questions/16014/ai-unauthorized-access-before-2033/
- The potential capabilities of artificial intelligence may radically shift our society.
- This could be in positive or negative ways – including extinction risk.
- Because of this, it’s important to track the development of goal-oriented independent thought and action within AI systems.
- Actions that might not have been predicted by their human creators and that are typically seen as morally wrong are particularly interesting from a risk perspective.
- Machine learning driven systems are already being used to aid human hackers in their efforts.
