Manifold MarketsFerméSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: No (99%)
Résolu: 13 oct. 2026, 13:44
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 1 oct. 2026, 05:45 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Chronologie des Probabilités
Yes1%
No99%
Gagné
Perdu
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Gallup began polling Americans on their beliefs about artificial intelligence in 2023, publishing their most recent results in August 2024, and September 2025.
- According to Gallup in 2024, 13% of Americans believe AI will "do more good than harm", an improvement of 3% over 2023.
- This declined in 2025, dropping to 12%.
- [image]This question resolves YES if Gallup polling for 2026 shows more Americans believe AI will do "more good than harm" than in 2024, i.e. 13% or higher.
- This question resolves NO if the results are the same (12%) or lower.
