Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 62.2%
Prévisionnistes
50
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète21 janv. 24, 01:00 UTC2 janv. 30, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Xenobots Be Approved By The FDA Before 2030?
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FutuurTdi-11861 (a fast-acting male contraceptive) approved for human clinical trials by the end of 2026?
FutuurOrion (a device that promises to project artificial vision into the brains of blind people) approved for sale by the end of 2027?
FutuurRègles
Resolves Yes if the FDA approves an HIV vaccine for general use by the end of 2030.
Marchés ouverts
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume total
- 15,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 18,3 k €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2 k €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt65%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volume total
- 916 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 k €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-2.0pt57%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 863,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a vaccine for HIV be approved by the FDA by 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 62% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a vaccine for HIV be approved by the FDA by 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a vaccine for HIV be approved by the FDA by 2030? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2030.
- Comment Will a vaccine for HIV be approved by the FDA by 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves Yes if the FDA approves an HIV vaccine for general use by the end of 2030.