Will a vaccine for HIV be approved by the FDA and be available for public use by 2027?
Santé et médecineOne-Off2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 91.8%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète11 janv. 24, 02:26 UTC2 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
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The US National Institutes of Health announced a clinical trial of an HIV vaccine in 2023, and says that "initial results are expected in late 2024" (https://www.nih.gov/news-events/news-releases/clinical-trial-hiv-vaccine-begins-united-states-south-africa).
- Resolves YES if this or another AIDS vaccine is FDA-approved and legally accessible in the US (even if there are shortages or other logistical limitations) at any point before 2027.