Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 69%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète30 mai 26, 20:13 UTC31 déc. 51, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a rover from Earth land on the planet Venus by EOY 2051?
Manifold MarketsWill a rover from Earth land on the moon Europa by EOY 2046?
Manifold MarketsWill a rover from Earth land on the moon Ganymede by EOY 2046?
Manifold MarketsWill a rover from Earth land on the moon Titan by EOY 2046?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Rover: some kind of permanent robotic system, generally comparable to lunar or Martian rovers, but not limited to specific designs.
- Permanent: designed to operate indefinitely; has a chance of lasting many years like other rovers.
- Land: operate on the surface as designed.
Marchés ouverts
Space
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+2.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.4pt9%
- Google-0.7pt2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 89,7 k €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No55%
- Yes45%
- Volume total
- 101,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 26,2 k €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-0.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+0.5pt16.7%
- Google+0.5pt7.8%
+18 résultats de plus
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-39.0pt41.5%
- Above 9-29.0pt34.1%
- Above 10-4.0pt10.6%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt47%
- June 30,+2.0pt41%
- February 28,27%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.6pt6%
- Volume total
- 817,5 k €
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a rover from Earth land on the planet Mercury by EOY 2051? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 69% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a rover from Earth land on the planet Mercury by EOY 2051? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a rover from Earth land on the planet Mercury by EOY 2051? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2051.
- Comment Will a rover from Earth land on the planet Mercury by EOY 2051? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Rover: some kind of permanent robotic system, generally comparable to lunar or Martian rovers, but not limited to specific designs.