Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 67.2%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète16 mai 26, 20:04 UTC31 déc. 46, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a rover from Earth land on the moon Europa by EOY 2046?
Manifold MarketsWill a rover from Earth land on the moon Ganymede by EOY 2046?
Manifold MarketsWill a rover from Earth land on the moon Io by EOY 2046?
Manifold MarketsWill Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketRègles
Rover: some kind of permanent robotic system, generally comparable to lunar or Martian rovers, but not limited to specific designs.
- Permanent: designed to operate indefinitely; has a chance of lasting many years like other rovers.
- Land: operate on the surface as designed.
Marchés ouverts
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+2.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.4pt9%
- Google-0.7pt2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 89,7 k €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No55%
- Yes45%
- Volume total
- 101,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 26,2 k €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-0.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+0.5pt16.7%
- Google+0.5pt7.8%
+18 résultats de plus
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-39.0pt41.5%
- Above 9-29.0pt34.1%
- Above 10-4.0pt10.6%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt47%
- June 30,+2.0pt41%
- February 28,27%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.6pt6%
- Volume total
- 817,5 k €
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a rover from Earth land on the moon Titan by EOY 2046? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 67% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a rover from Earth land on the moon Titan by EOY 2046? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a rover from Earth land on the moon Titan by EOY 2046? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2046.
- Comment Will a rover from Earth land on the moon Titan by EOY 2046? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Rover: some kind of permanent robotic system, generally comparable to lunar or Martian rovers, but not limited to specific designs.