Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 67.9%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète9 mai 26, 10:41 UTC31 déc. 51, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a rover from Earth land on the planet Mercury by EOY 2051?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a data center on the planet Venus by 2127?
Manifold MarketsWill a rover from Earth land on the moon Europa by EOY 2046?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Rover: some kind of permanent robotic system, generally comparable to lunar or Martian rovers, but not limited to specific designs.
- Update 2026-05-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Rapid failure (like the Soviet Venus landers) would count against the "permanent" requirement in the rover definition
- Preponderance of media coverage can be used to distinguish a "crash landing" from a successful "landing" if ambiguous
Marchés ouverts
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 944,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 721,8 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Volume total
- 620 k €
- Volume 24h
- 536 k €
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Volume total
- 514,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 496,9 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a rover from Earth land on the planet Venus by EOY 2051? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 68% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a rover from Earth land on the planet Venus by EOY 2051? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a rover from Earth land on the planet Venus by EOY 2051? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2051.
- Comment Will a rover from Earth land on the planet Venus by EOY 2051? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Rover: some kind of permanent robotic system, generally comparable to lunar or Martian rovers, but not limited to specific designs.