Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 67.9%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète9 mai 26, 10:41 UTC31 déc. 51, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a rover from Earth land on the planet Mercury by EOY 2051?
Manifold MarketsWill a rover from Earth land on the moon Europa by EOY 2046?
Manifold MarketsWill a rover from Earth land on the moon Ganymede by EOY 2046?
Manifold MarketsWill a rover from Earth land on the moon Titan by EOY 2046?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketHow many launches will SpaceX have in October?
KalshiRègles
Rover: some kind of permanent robotic system, generally comparable to lunar or Martian rovers, but not limited to specific designs.
- Update 2026-05-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Rapid failure (like the Soviet Venus landers) would count against the "permanent" requirement in the rover definition
- Preponderance of media coverage can be used to distinguish a "crash landing" from a successful "landing" if ambiguous