Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
US PoliticsOne-OffRégulationTech3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 72.1%
Prévisionnistes
155
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète30 oct. 23, 04:19 UTC7 janv. 30, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
https://www.forbes.com/sites/rinatorchinsky/2023/10/28/best-and-worst-states-to-buy-an-electric-vehicle/?sh=7c69dc351e03
- [link preview]"The Biden administration is shooting for 50% of all new car sales to be electric vehicles by 2030."
- Have to do some thinking, but my current perogrative is that we'll need more than a single month of 50% for the question to resolve "Yes." If for two consecutive quarters before 2030 we have > 50% this question will resolve yes. "if the last month of 2029 is >50% and that trend continues into 2030, the the question will also resolve "Yes."
- Update: This market will remain with 2030 as the deadline.
- There are just too many positions to change.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 72% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030? doit être résolu le 7 janvier 2030.
- Comment Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : https://www.forbes.com/sites/rinatorchinsky/2023/10/28/best-and-worst-states-to-buy-an-electric-vehicle/?sh=7c69dc351e03