Will OpenAI go public in 2026?
RégulationIAOne-OffTechPolitique commercialeOpérations sur titresPolitique américaine2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 97%
Prévisionnistes
39
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète13 janv. 26, 19:43 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will OpenAI go public NOT via an IPO?
Manifold MarketsWhich week will Anthropic's IPO prospectus (Form S-1) go public on SEC EDGAR?
Manifold Markets1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic go public NOT via an IPO?
Manifold MarketsCompanies to go public in 2026
FutuurWill Discord go public by the end of 2026?
FutuurRègles
Resolution criteria
- OpenAI will be considered to have gone public in 2026 if it completes an initial public offering (IPO) and begins trading on a public stock exchange at any point during the calendar year 2026.
- This includes any IPO filing, pricing, and first day of trading occurring in 2026.
- The resolution will be verified through major financial news sources (Bloomberg, Reuters, CNBC, WSJ) and official SEC filings if the IPO occurs in the United States.
- OpenAI completed its recapitalization process to go from a non-profit to a for-profit in October 2025.
- According to a Reuters report from November, OpenAI was planning an IPO of up to $1 trillion as early as late 2026.
