Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 92.6%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète7 déc. 25, 04:28 UTC7 déc. 26, 04:28 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
OpenAI is a leading AI developer (GPT family of models) organized as OpenAI, L.L.C. and related entities.
- It has raised large private funding and engaged in discussions about public-market options. “Going public” can occur via routes other than a traditional underwritten registered IPO — for example, a direct listing, SPAC merger (de‑SPAC), or a merger/acquisition that results in OpenAI equity (or equity of the legal entity representing OpenAI’s primary AI business) becoming listed and tradable on public exchanges.
- Question (short description)
- Will OpenAI become a publicly listed company through a non‑IPO route (direct listing, SPAC/de‑SPAC merger, or merger/going‑public via a public company acquisition) by 11:59:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2026?
- Target: OpenAI, Inc., OpenAI, L.L.C., or any legal entity whose equity represents OpenAI’s primary AI business/operating entity.
- Included non‑IPO routes: direct listing, SPAC merger (including reverse merger into a blank‑check company and completion of de‑SPAC), or merger/acquisition that results in OpenAI equity being listed and publicly tradable.
Marchés ouverts
Exchange
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Ftiaamic
- AMIC+38.0pt78.4%
- FTIA-37.0pt21.6%
- Volume total
- 4,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 4,6 M €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Bshecalc
- CALC76.7%
- BSHE+1.0pt23.3%
- Volume total
- 459,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 459,8 k €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Quarter Finals match
- Jessica Pegula76.7%
- Emma Navarro23.3%
- Volume total
- 123,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 384,9 k €
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 74,000+0.6pt100%
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,250 or above99%
- $74,750 or above99%
- $75,500 or above97%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 161,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 158,1 k €
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- How high will BTC get in September?
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Mandcgau
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Qzheeryb
- BNB price range on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What chain will LAPTOP launch on?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will OpenAI go public NOT via an IPO? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 93% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will OpenAI go public NOT via an IPO? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will OpenAI go public NOT via an IPO? doit être résolu le 7 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will OpenAI go public NOT via an IPO? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : OpenAI is a leading AI developer (GPT family of models) organized as OpenAI, L.L.C. and related entities.