Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Demographics 29.7%En tête parmi 8 options
Demographics 29.7%Prévisionnistes
50
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard19 sept. 23, 02:44 UTC26 sept. 28, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Does eating quickly increase diabetes risk?
Manifold MarketsWill Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ben & Jerry's Chocolate Chip Cookie Dough ice cream still be produced by 2065?
Manifold MarketsWill Good Humor sell Fat Frog ice cream again by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsHow many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
KalshiWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiRègles
See Nutrition Science's Most Preposterous Result, from The Atlantic, May 2023.
- Choi 2005 https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/article-abstract/1152788
- Korat 2018 http://nrs.harvard.edu/urn-3:HUL.InstRepos:37925665
- Nutr 2019 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6821541/
- Resolves to my best guess five years after creating the market.
- If there are multiple causes, will resolve to my subjective weighting of factors.
