Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOther 31.3%En tête parmi 20 options
Prévisionnistes
42
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-25.6 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète15 sept. 23, 17:01 UTC2 juil. 30, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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PolymarketRègles
Each winner resolves to 25% assuming there are 4 winners.
- Probability mass is distributed evenly among all winners.
- This will resolve to the real name of the winners, nothing else.
- If someone puts a duplicate option, it will resolve to the first option.