Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleJ. D. Vance 83.5%En tête parmi 20 options
Prévisionnistes
59
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète10 oct. 23, 15:05 UTC17 juin 28, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom be the two frontrunners for the 2028 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
PredictItWill a woman win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
PredictItWho will run for the 2028 Republican nomination for the presidency? [Add Answers]
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028?
FutuurRègles
This market uses the new Unlinked Multiple Choice format.
- The probabilites of each answer are independent of the other answers.
- Individual answers can resolve early, while the market as a whole remains open.
- Any person who appears in Wikipedia's "major candidates" section, at any time, for the 2028 Republican Party presidential primaries will resolve YES.
- The criteria here are:
- The candidates in this section have declared their candidacies and meet one or more of the following criteria: campaign has received substantial major media coverage; current or previous holder of significant elected office (president, vice president, governor, U.S. senator, U.S. representative); have been included in at least five national polls.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote J. D. Vance à 84% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? doit être résolu le 17 juin 2028.
- Comment Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market uses the new Unlinked Multiple Choice format.
- Où Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi.