Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom be the two frontrunners for the 2028 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 62.9%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète12 juil. 26, 21:21 UTC1 juin 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?
FutuurWho will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Kamala Harris attempt to run again for the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Kamala Harris be the first woman president of the USA before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Kamala Harris win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExWill Gavin Newsom win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRègles
This market will resolve YES if Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom are the two candidates with the highest delegate count in the 2028 Democratic Party Presidential Primaries.
- It will resolve based on state election results, not committed delegates at the convention (i.e. in the case of a contested convention).
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom be the two frontrunners for the 2028 Democratic Presidential Nomination? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 63% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom be the two frontrunners for the 2028 Democratic Presidential Nomination? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom be the two frontrunners for the 2028 Democratic Presidential Nomination? doit être résolu le 1 juin 2028.
- Comment Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom be the two frontrunners for the 2028 Democratic Presidential Nomination? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve YES if Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom are the two candidates with the highest delegate count in the 2028 Democratic Party Presidential Primaries.