Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom both run for president in 2028?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 78.2%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
14 sept. 26, 20:16 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Gavin Newsom run for President in the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom run for President in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom run for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill Gavin Newsom win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExWill Rubio and Vance both announce a run for President before 2028?
PredictItRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if both Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom formally run for President of the United States in the 2028 election cycle on or before August 10, 2028.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- For the purposes of this market, "running for president" is defined as a candidate meeting at least one of the following criteria on or before August 10, 2028:
- Officially filing a Statement of Candidacy (FEC Form 2) for the office of President with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) for the 2028 election cycle (viewable on the official FEC website).
- Registering an official presidential exploratory committee with the FEC for the 2028 election.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom both run for president in 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 78.2% au 22 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom both run for president in 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom both run for president in 2028? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2028.
- Comment Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom both run for president in 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria