Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolitiqueUS PoliticsÉlection1a
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleJ.D. Vance 78%En tête parmi 34 options
Qualite du marche
67 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,6 k €
Liquidité
143,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
10.0% / 13.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 24 minutes
22 mars 25, 14:001 janv. 28, 15:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Donald J. Trump12%
Comparer les plateformes· J.D. Vance
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiCette pageMeilleur global | Moyenne | 78% | — | 1,6 k € | 143,5 k € | il y a 24 minutes | |
 Manifold Markets88% de correspondance · vérifié | — | 84% | — | — | — | il y a 16 jours | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Manifold Markets
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?
1a
83.5%
60.9%
59.1%
+18 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire59 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRègles
Vance announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Donald J.
- Trump announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trump Jr. announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Tulsi Gabbard announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Ron DeSantis announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$1.9k2 juil.27j de données28 juil.
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Vance announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Donald J.
- Trump announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trump Jr. announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Tulsi Gabbard announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Ron DeSantis announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.