Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleWes Streeting is not Prime Minister at the end of 2026 99%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète15 mai 26, 13:0731 déc. 26, 23:59
Tendances
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
Règles
Combined conditional market on Streeting becoming PM and who he picks as Chancellor of the Exchequer if he does.
- Please only add Labour MPs as options.
- (Use the "Other" option if you think a non-Labour MP (other than Burnham) might get the job.) I don't think there are any circumstances under which this market can resolve NA.
- If you have an edge case that I haven't covered in the small print, please let me know.
- Resolves to "Current Role Holder" on this page:
- https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers/chancellor-of-the-exchequer
Marchés ouverts
AI
POLYMARKETNext Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- October 31+2.4pt99%
- September 30+4.0pt96%
- September 15+1.5pt89%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 934,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 195 k €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.2pt68%
- ChatGPT-1.2pt12.6%
- Grok+0.4pt9.7%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 8,3 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,95%
- October 31,90%
- October 15,-2.0pt68%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,9 M €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+20.5pt76.2%
- Moonshot-13.9pt13.9%
- Z.ai-8.0pt5.9%
+8 résultats de plus
GEMINIBTC price on September 1
- $77,000 or above88%
- $77,250 or above75.5%
- $77,500 or above52%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 31,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 31,6 k €
POLYMARKETNext Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by which date?
- October 31+3.9pt99%
- September 30+11.7pt96%
- September 15+8.9pt86%
+7 résultats de plus
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Next Mythos-Class Model released on?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+): Text Arena Debut?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will be Wes Streeting's Chancellor at the end of 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Wes Streeting is not Prime Minister at the end of 2026 à 99% au 1 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will be Wes Streeting's Chancellor at the end of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will be Wes Streeting's Chancellor at the end of 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Who will be Wes Streeting's Chancellor at the end of 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Combined conditional market on Streeting becoming PM and who he picks as Chancellor of the Exchequer if he does.