Which Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026?
One-OffUS PoliticsPolitique3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleJD Vance (Vice President) 99%En tête parmi 23 options
Prévisionnistes
39
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
26 nov. 25, 16:27 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026?
KalshiHow many US cabinet members will leave in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
PolymarketHow many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?
PolymarketWill Donald Trump pardon any of his cabinet members from his second term?
Manifold MarketsWho will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
KalshiRègles
Taking Cabinet members from here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_cabinet_of_Donald_Trump
- If a Cabinet member changes positions within the administration, they will resolve “No”.
- Announcing a planned departure but not vacating the position by the end of 2026 will not count.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7 k €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3 k €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote JD Vance (Vice President) à 99% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Which Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Taking Cabinet members from here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_cabinet_of_Donald_Trump