Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle5+ 71.1%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète12 janv. 26, 01:25 UTC3 janv. 27, 01:25 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026?
KalshiWhich Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any of the UN’s Security Council permanent members leave the Non-Proliferation Treaty by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill some members (1 or more) leave the EU (European Union) before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump pardon any of his cabinet members from his second term?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump wins in 2024, will any members of his Cabinet be former Trump administration Cabinet members?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Leaving means leaving cabinet altogether.
- If someone went from one position to another in the cabinet, they are still in the cabinet.
- leave means leave for any reason. resignation, firing, impeachment, death and anything else counts as leaving.
- if JD vance becomes president this counts as leaving the cabinet.
- must have officially left their role before end of 2026(washington dc time).
- Announcement isnt enough.
