KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
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Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
0 87.5%En tête parmi 6 options
0 87.5%Qualité du marché
61 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
8,7 €
Intérêt ouvert
61,9 k $US
Intérêt ouvert élevéAchat / Vente
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0Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
18 janv. 26, 22:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · 0
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many US cabinet members will leave in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump state that he has fired Lisa Cook?
KalshiWill Elon musk, JD Vance, or more than 2 members of Trump administration follow https://x.com/cremieuxrecueil?s=09 by EO
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump pardon any of his cabinet members from his second term?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Trump say during his rally in Michigan?
KalshiRègles
If President Trump has announced that he asked for the resignation of, or fired, exactly 0 non-acting Cabinet members before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement will be considered to be made by President Trump if it is announced on President Trump's personal or official social media accounts, made by President Trump in a video or audio format, a direct quote from President Trump in written reporting, or otherwise written or released directly from President Trump. The withdrawal of a request for resignation, or the reversal of a decision to fire, does not negate the initial request for resignation or decision to fire for the purposes of this Contract. For the purposes of this Contract, it does not matter if the Cabinet member does not actually resign, is removed, or otherwise leaves the position. For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President's Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. An "acting" member of the Cabinet is not included.
Règles de chaque résultat
- 0
- If President Trump has announced that he asked for the resignation of, or fired, exactly 0 non-acting Cabinet members before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 1
- If President Trump has announced that he asked for the resignation of, or fired, exactly 1 non-acting Cabinet members before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 2
- If President Trump has announced that he asked for the resignation of, or fired, exactly 2 non-acting Cabinet members before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4
- If President Trump has announced that he asked for the resignation of, or fired, exactly 4 non-acting Cabinet members before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 3
- If President Trump has announced that he asked for the resignation of, or fired, exactly 3 non-acting Cabinet members before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5
- If President Trump has announced that he asked for the resignation of, or fired, exactly 5 non-acting Cabinet members before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
