How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026?
3.8 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffUS Politics3mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
0 86.3%En tête parmi 6 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
61 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,2 €
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53,2 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
3.8 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
18 janv. 26, 22:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
If President Trump has announced that he asked for the resignation of, or fired, exactly 0 non-acting Cabinet members before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement will be considered to be made by President Trump if it is announced on President Trump's personal or official social media accounts, made by President Trump in a video or audio format, a direct quote from President Trump in written reporting, or otherwise written or released directly from President Trump.
- The withdrawal of a request for resignation, or the reversal of a decision to fire, does not negate the initial request for resignation or decision to fire for the purposes of this Contract.
- For the purposes of this Contract, it does not matter if the Cabinet member does not actually resign, is removed, or otherwise leaves the position.
- For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President's Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP.
- An "acting" member of the Cabinet is not included.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote 0 à 86% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If President Trump has announced that he asked for the resignation of, or fired, exactly 0 non-acting Cabinet members before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.