PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleNone before 2027 40.9%+0.4ptEn tête parmi 29 options
Qualite du marche
60 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
25,6 €
Liquidité
36,8 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
47.0% / 47.5%
Spread
0.5 pt
Spread serréVariation 7j
-0.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 23 minutes
22 mai 26, 19:1131 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
None before 202747%
Comparer les plateformes· Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMeilleur global80% de correspondance · auto | Moyenne | 31% | 0pt | 2,1 k € | 54,4 k € | il y a 23 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| PolymarketCette page | Moyenne | 34% | +3pt | 25,6 € | 36,8 k € | il y a 23 minutes |
Également disponible sur Kalshi
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
2a
+5.0pt31%
15%
11%
+18 résultats de plus
65 • Qualité moyenneSpread modéréLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total89 k €
Volume 24h2,1 k €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration.
- If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
- An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
- If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first.
- If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
- For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA).
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$292 juil.27j de données28 juil.
Marchés Associés
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KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
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This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration.
- If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
- An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
- If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first.
- If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
- For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA).