FutuurVérifier la disponibilitéDonnées de résolution vérifiéesProbabilité implicite actuelle
Tulsi Gabbard 86%En tête parmi 10 options
Tulsi Gabbard 86%Qualité du marché
31 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
6,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneTraders
89
Commentaires
8
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
PolymarketWill Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration in 2026?
KalshiWho will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
PolymarketHow many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?
PolymarketWill Katie Zacharia take another Trump administration role?
KalshiWho will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This event predicts which of the listed individuals will cease to hold their office within the Trump administration at any point between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 UTC.
- An individual is considered to have left the administration if they resign, are dismissed, are reassigned outside the administration, or otherwise no longer occupy an official government position within it.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is an official announcement from the White House or the relevant U.S. government department confirming the individual’s departure.
- If official confirmation is delayed, incomplete, or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will consist of corroboration from multiple major, reputable U.S. news organizations reporting the individual’s confirmed departure based on official statements.
- Resolution will prioritize the substantive outcome over minor technicalities in timing or wording, and Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation if a fair determination becomes impossible.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? · Dan Bongino 100%
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Susie Wiles 34%
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Karoline Leavitt 50%