KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleRobert F. Kennedy Jr. 31%+2.0ptEn tête parmi 21 options
Qualite du marche
61 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
987,3 €
Liquidité
53 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
11.0% / 15.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
22 mai 26, 18:0020 janv. 29, 15:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Pete Hegseth15%
Comparer les plateformes· Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global80% de correspondance · auto | Moyenne | 34% | +3pt | 1,5 k € | 195,5 k € | il y a 13 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| KalshiCette page | Moyenne | 31% | 0pt | 987,3 € | 53 k € | il y a 13 minutes |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
3.1 pts5mo
+0.7pt40.5%
+3.1pt29.3%
+8.2pt7.8%
+26 résultats de plus
69 • Qualité moyenneSpread serréLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total23,6 k €
Volume 24h1,5 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If Marco Rubio is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two persons announce they intend to leave at the same time, then the one who leaves first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- If multiple persons both announce they intend to leave and leave at the same time as other members, then the one whose last name is alphabetically first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- A leave of absence does not constitute leaving the position.
- For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP.
- Acting roles are not included.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$1.1k2 juil.26j de données27 juil.
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If Marco Rubio is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two persons announce they intend to leave at the same time, then the one who leaves first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- If multiple persons both announce they intend to leave and leave at the same time as other members, then the one whose last name is alphabetically first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- A leave of absence does not constitute leaving the position.
- For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP.
- Acting roles are not included.