Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 53.3%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète11 nov. 24, 22:32 UTC21 janv. 29, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
KalshiWhen will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?
KalshiWill the US attack a NATO member, and will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
PolymarketHow many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?
PolymarketWhich Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Lee Zeldin has been picked to lead the EPA
- https://x.com/LeeMZeldin/status/1856068555865026956
- If he’s still in office by the end of Trump’s term (including cases where Trump dies or leaves office early), this resolved Yes.
- If he is never officially appointed once Trump takes office, it resolves n/a.
- If he leaves because he dies or becomes sick, it resolves n/a.
- If he leaves because he voluntarily quits for reasons unrelated to health, it resolves No.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Lee Zeldin still be a member of Trump’s cabinet by the end of his term? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 53% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Lee Zeldin still be a member of Trump’s cabinet by the end of his term? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Lee Zeldin still be a member of Trump’s cabinet by the end of his term? doit être résolu le 21 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will Lee Zeldin still be a member of Trump’s cabinet by the end of his term? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Lee Zeldin has been picked to lead the EPA