KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 2027 68%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualité du marché
51 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
230,1 €
Liquidité
6,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
5.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
22 mai 26, 18:00 UTC2 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Lee Zeldin still be a member of Trump’s cabinet by the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsNext Cabinet Official To Leave In 2026
SmarketsWho will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
PolymarketWho will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
KalshiWhich Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?
PolymarketRègles
If any member of Trump's Cabinet leaves their office, or announces they will leave their office, from before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Any action related to Tulsi Gabbard will not qualify.
- The President announcing that a member of the Cabinet will leave the Cabinet also qualifies.
- For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP.
- Acting roles are not included.
- Leaving office as a result of death is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
Marchés ouverts
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jan 2027 à 68% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? doit être résolu le 2 octobre 2026.
- Comment When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If any member of Trump's Cabinet leaves their office, or announces they will leave their office, from before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.