Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Children of Blood and Bone 100%En tête parmi 39 options
Prévisionnistes
38
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
6 janv. 24, 03:08 UTC1 janv. 30, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What Video Games or Video Game World will be Adapted into a TV series or Movie by 2040? (ADD ANSWERS)
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KalshiRègles
The criteria here are somewhat subjective - I will make the final determination so I will not bet.
- Some important considerations will be:
- Does the movie/series have the same title as the book or the series of books to which the book belongs?
- Are most of the major characters named the same?
- Is the plot roughly the same?
- Sometimes plots are changed / characters are combined in the adaptation process, but that alone isn't enough to make something "not an adaption"
Marchés ouverts
AI
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volume total
- 224,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 160,5 k €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 344,9 k €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which SciFi/Fantasy books will be adapted into movies or TV series by the end of the 2020s? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Children of Blood and Bone à 100% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which SciFi/Fantasy books will be adapted into movies or TV series by the end of the 2020s? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which SciFi/Fantasy books will be adapted into movies or TV series by the end of the 2020s? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment Which SciFi/Fantasy books will be adapted into movies or TV series by the end of the 2020s? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The criteria here are somewhat subjective - I will make the final determination so I will not bet.