Which party will win the popular vote in Texas in the 2028 presidential election?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleRepublican Party 68.1%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-20.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard6 nov. 26, 00:57 UTC8 nov. 28, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
Resolves to the party of the presidential ticket with the most votes in Texas in the November 7, 2028 election, per Texas's certified result.
- Only the vote count matters: how Texas awards its electoral votes, including under a national popular vote compact, doesn't.
- Only the party matters: a ticket on the Democratic or Republican line counts as that party even if also listed on other parties' lines.
- Any other ticket resolves to Other, or to its own answer if one has been added.
- Resolves on the certified result, or earlier once the AP has called it and no recount could change it.
- N/A if Texas holds no popular vote for President.