KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 6 nov. 2026, 13:48 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Milieu du carnet sélectionné
Wisconsin · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Wisconsin 51.5%En tête parmi 5 options
Wisconsin 51.5%Qualité du marché
48 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
3,7 k €
Intérêt ouvert
4 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
— / —
WisconsinÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète5 nov. 26, 03:00 UTC7 nov. 28, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Wisconsin
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact comes into effect before 2029, will the Supreme Court block it?
Manifold MarketsWill the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact be in effect for the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsHow much progress will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact make by the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill the National Popular Vote compact reach 270 electoral votes?
KalshiWhich party will win the national popular vote in the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact go into effect by July 2028?
PredictItRègles
If legislation joining the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact is enacted in Wisconsin before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods Legislation not requiring executive approval: final passage and completion of required waiting periods Constitutional amendments: passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes Executive orders: official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness The following do NOT constitute enactment: Legislative passage without completed executive action Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges. The effective date of the law is not relevant; only that it has been enacted. A state counts once its law joining the compact is enacted, even though the compact takes effect only when member states hold at least 270 electoral votes.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Wisconsin
- If legislation joining the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact is enacted in Wisconsin before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Michigan
- If legislation joining the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact is enacted in Michigan before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nevada
- If legislation joining the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact is enacted in Nevada before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Arizona
- If legislation joining the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact is enacted in Arizona before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pennsylvania
- If legislation joining the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact is enacted in Pennsylvania before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
