KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Before 2034 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before 2034 30.5%En tête parmi 4 options
Before 2034 30.5%Qualité du marché
31 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Intérêt ouvert
682 $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
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Before 2034Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
14 avr. 26, 21:00 UTC1 janv. 28, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before 2034
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
In the 2028 presidential election will at least one state assign its electoral votes based on the national popular vote?
Manifold MarketsWill the loser get 228 or more electoral votes in the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsHow many electoral votes will the Democratic presidential candidate win in 2028? [overlapping ranges]
Manifold MarketsWhen will be the next year that a presidential candidate gets at least 500 electoral votes?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiRègles
If states that have enacted the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact possess at least 270 electoral votes before Jan 1, 2034, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, a state or jurisdiction has "enacted" NPVIC legislation when such legislation has been signed into law by the governor, has become law without the governor's signature after the constitutional waiting period, or has been enacted by veto override; or has otherwise become law. The effective date of the law is not relevant; only that it has been enacted. Electoral votes are counted based on the apportionment in effect at the time of when the relevant law is enacted. States that have withdrawn from the compact through repeal legislation are not counted toward the total. If a state's membership in the compact is invalidated by a final court ruling before Jan 1, 203…
Règlement via:National Popular Vote Inc
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before 2034
- If states that have enacted the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact possess at least 270 electoral votes before Jan 1, 2034, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, a state or jurisdiction has "enacted" NPVIC legislation when such legislation has been signed into law by the governor, has become law without the governor's signature after the constitutional waiting period, or has been enacted by veto override; or has otherwise become law. The effective date of the law is not relevant; only that it has been enacted. Electoral votes are counted based on the apportionment in effect at the time of when the relevant law is enacted. States that have withdrawn from the compact through repeal legislation are not counted toward the total. If a state's membership in the compact is invalidated by a final court ruling before Jan 1, 203…
- Before 2032
- If states that have enacted the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact possess at least 270 electoral votes before Jan 1, 2032, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, a state or jurisdiction has "enacted" NPVIC legislation when such legislation has been signed into law by the governor, has become law without the governor's signature after the constitutional waiting period, or has been enacted by veto override; or has otherwise become law. The effective date of the law is not relevant; only that it has been enacted. Electoral votes are counted based on the apportionment in effect at the time of when the relevant law is enacted. States that have withdrawn from the compact through repeal legislation are not counted toward the total. If a state's membership in the compact is invalidated by a final court ruling before Jan 1, 203…
- Before 2030
- If states that have enacted the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact possess at least 270 electoral votes before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, a state or jurisdiction has "enacted" NPVIC legislation when such legislation has been signed into law by the governor, has become law without the governor's signature after the constitutional waiting period, or has been enacted by veto override; or has otherwise become law. The effective date of the law is not relevant; only that it has been enacted. Electoral votes are counted based on the apportionment in effect at the time of when the relevant law is enacted. States that have withdrawn from the compact through repeal legislation are not counted toward the total. If a state's membership in the compact is invalidated by a final court ruling before Jan 1, 203…
- Before 2028
- If states that have enacted the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact possess at least 270 electoral votes before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, a state or jurisdiction has "enacted" NPVIC legislation when such legislation has been signed into law by the governor, has become law without the governor's signature after the constitutional waiting period, or has been enacted by veto override; or has otherwise become law. The effective date of the law is not relevant; only that it has been enacted. Electoral votes are counted based on the apportionment in effect at the time of when the relevant law is enacted. States that have withdrawn from the compact through repeal legislation are not counted toward the total. If a state's membership in the compact is invalidated by a final court ruling before Jan 1, 202…
