In the 2028 presidential election will at least one state assign its electoral votes based on the national popular vote?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 84.7%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète23 août 26, 20:45 UTC18 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" If at least one state adopts a law prior to the ascertainment of electors for the 2028 presidential election that says that the electors will be chosen based on the national popular vote, and the state follows that law when appointing its electors.
- If that does not happen, this market will resolve to "No".
- Should there be a dispute, the rules provided will control over the answer to the question itself.
- While the question is intended to provide an easy way for people to bet on their beliefs, it is not the end-all, be-all, and all traders should look at the rules.
- Please don't hesitate to ask clarifying questions in the comments.
- In the unlikely event of significant ambiguity regarding whether the resolution criteria have been met.
